mGinger

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Wednesday, March 30, 2011

How often does India win when Sachin scores a century?


There is this thing I keep hearing that Sachin's centuries are not all that lucky for India, and we generally lose when he scores them.

A lot of people have this impression, and I thought I'd dig deeper and figure out if there's anything behind this.

The data that I found surprised me quite a bit.

Sachin's centuries only result in about 69% wins for India whereas Sehwag's 14 centuries have led to 13 wins!

Similarly the winning percentage for Ponting, Jayasuriya and Ganguly who have scored many more than Sehwag is much higher as well.

Looking at all the data behind these numbers – I see that there is a simple explanation, but I won't spoil the fun for you and let you enjoy this little graphic with a lot of other interesting stats as well.

So, you see – it just happens that Sachin has scored more of his centuries against tougher opponents, and while his centuries have in general markedly improved India's winning chances; those chances were so low to begin with that it gives a semblance that India doesn't win as often as it should.

I've taken the data from How Stat and CricInfo.


Source: OneMint



--
Yours
Murali........

Planning gold purchases for a future occassion


Amit left the following comment a few days ago:

I want to buy gold for my sisters marriage which will be in december 2012.
So i am planning to buy gold(in solid form) for making jewellery for her wedding.
Please let me know which month is the best to buy gold in solid form.

Before I could get to the answer – Niraj Kothari replied to it in a very comprehensive manner, and I think his response has some good insight for people who are planning to purchase gold in the near future for a wedding or some other occasion, so I'm bumping it up to a full post.

Even if you're not planning to buy gold – this is a good thing to be aware of.

Dear Amit,

First of all, it is highly unpredictable to say in which month the gold rate will be lesser/ optimal so that you can buy buy pure gold .

I suggest you the below options by which I hope that you can take advantage of current high gold rate fluctuations and also get some benefit from jewellers schemes

1. You can go with monthly savings scheme / monthly fixed amount investment scheme with reputed jewellers in your city, the advantages of such type of schemes are

a. These monthly fixed amount investment schemes give you a bonus amount at the end of the     scheme.
Ex: Deposit Rs.5000 / month for 13 months and get a bonus of Rs.5000 at the end of 14th month , so you will be benefitted to buy gold worth Rs.70000/- though you have deposited Rs.65000/- in total for 13 months.

b. These schemes have some discount on the making charges*
* The discount should be taken in written on the day when you start the scheme.

c. Usually the gold price is taken on the final day on which you purchase the jewellery.

d. Make sure that whether the jeweller is offering the bonus only on purchase of gold jewellery or also on purchase of on gold bullion( 24kt gold ).

e. The jewellery which you purchase should be all BIS 916 hallmarked on every product.
Ex: If you buy a 6 piece bangle set, EACH BANGLE should be 916 BIS hallmarked for 22kt gold and 958 Bis hallmarked for 23kt Gold.

2. You must have decided how many grams of gold jewellery you are planning to buy for your sisters marriage, so for Example , If I assume it to be 200 grams and you 20 more months in hand.
So, you can buy just 10.000 grams 24kt pure gold of 99.50 purity or above every month on a fixed date , this way you will make an average price at which you buy gold and also it won't overload your investment portfolio/monthly budget.

At the end of Nov.2012 you will accumulate 200.00 grams of 24kt gold, now when you go to a jeweller to exchange this 22kt gold jewellery , make sure of the below mentioned points.

a. Your 24kt gold should be converted in cash at that day's prevailing 24kt gold purchase rate of the jeweller.( Rs.100 – Rs.300 / 10 grams is difference between sale and purchase price of 24kt gold at reputed jewellers )

b. You pay ornament rate + making charges to the jeweller for the jewellery you purchase , in this total amount your 24kt gold total value should be deducted.

c. Again make sure you buy in Bill/ and all the jewellery is 916 BIS hallmarked.

Hope the above information is useful to you…

I think there is value in exploring this option not so much because of the math of it but because of the psychological benefit of setting aside a certain sum every month for a very specific purpose with a jeweler. If you decide to get into a scheme with a jeweler where you invest a sum regularly to get a bonus at the end, then make sure to compare that with at least a bank recurring deposit, and see that it's not too far off.

Be it stocks or other assets – regular investing is likely to trump timing the market as far as the retail investor is concerned.

Finally – thank you to Niraj for sharing his experience with everyone.


Source: OneMint
--
Yours
Murali........

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